Football Result

Gustavo Gómez 34'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
28.5%
30.2%
41.3%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.495
0.705
Remark: 1st Leg
Game Stats
Goals
0
1
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots
13
12
Possession
54.2%
45.8%
Fouls
19
19
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
4
Offsides
3
1
Saves
3
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-4-2


Location
Castelao, Fortaleza, Brazil
2025-05-01 | Game Summary

Cearu00e1 faced Palmeiras in the first leg of the 2025 Copa do Brasil Third Round at Castelu00e3o. Palmeiras secured a 1-0 victory, with Gustavo Gu00f3mez scoring the decisive goal in the 34th minute. The match saw Cearu00e1 controlling possession with 54.2% compared to Palmeiras' 45.8%. However, Palmeiras proved more efficient in attack, landing 4 shots on target from their 12 total shots, while Cearu00e1 only managed 2 on target out of 13. Both teams were evenly matched in terms of fouls committed, totaling 19 each. Cearu00e1 accumulated 3 yellow cards, while Palmeiras received 4.
The pre-game AI prediction favored a Palmeiras win, which turned out to be correct. The AI also did not expect a balanced game, aligning with the narrow victory. Palmeiras' higher team rate of 0.705 compared to Cearu00e1's 0.495 also suggested a stronger likelihood of Palmeiras winning.
Cearu00e1's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins, losses, and a draw in their last five Brazilian Serie A matches. Their next game is against Vitu00f3ria in the Serie A. Vitu00f3ria's form is similarly mixed, with recent draws and a loss in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana alongside a win in the Serie A.
Palmeiras, despite a recent loss to Bahia, had been on a strong winning streak in both the Brazilian Serie A and the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Palmeiras' next match is against Vasco da Gama in the Serie A. Vasco da Gama has struggled recently, with a loss and a draw in their last two games.
Historically, head-to-head matches between Cearu00e1 and Palmeiras have been competitive, but Palmeiras has often had the upper hand in recent encounters. Conversely, Palmeiras also holds the advantage in recent encounters against Vasco da Gama. Analyzing the team form, Palmeiras seems to be the stronger team but they will need to be wary of Vasco da Gama playing at home. Ceara will need to improve their attack if they want to get back to winning ways against Vitoria in the next match.

2025-04-29 | Pre-game insights

On April 30, 2025, Ceará will face Palmeiras at Castelão in Fortaleza, Brazil, for a Copa do Brasil match. According to AI predictions, Palmeiras is favored to win with a 41.3% probability, against Ceará's 28.5%, while a draw is estimated at 30.2%. The AI assigns Ceará a rate of 0.495 and Palmeiras a higher rate of 0.705, reflecting their relative strengths.
Ceará's recent form has been mixed, with a draw against São Paulo (1-1), losses against Bahia (1-0) and Juventude (2-1), and victories against Vasco da Gama (2-1) and Grêmio (2-0). Meanwhile, Palmeiras, despite a recent loss to Bahia (0-1), has shown strong performances, including wins against Bolívar (2-3) in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, and against Fortaleza (1-2), Internacional (0-1) and Corinthians (2-0) in Brazilian Serie A.
Palmeiras boasts talented players such as Endrick, known for his explosive speed and goal-scoring ability, and Raphael Veiga, the midfield maestro with exceptional vision and playmaking skills. Although past head-to-head games have been closely contested, with both teams securing wins, the AI suggests that Palmeiras' superior form and squad depth will give them the edge in this upcoming Copa do Brasil clash. However, Cearás' home advantage could play an important role in the final result.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Ceara
D L W L W
Palmeiras
L W W W W