Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a CONMEBOL Libertadores group stage match held on April 8, 2025, Independiente del Valle defeated Universitario 1-0 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil in Quito. Jordy Alcivar scored the decisive goal for the home side in the 82nd minute. Independiente del Valle dominated possession with 63.5% and registered 14 total shots compared to Universitario's 9, although both teams struggled to convert these into shots on target, with Independiente del Valle managing only 4 and Universitario only 1. The match saw 7 fouls committed by Independiente del Valle and 8 by Universitario, with 2 yellow cards given to the home side and 1 to the visitors.
The AI prediction of an Independiente del Valle win proved accurate, aligning with the 51.6% win probability assigned to them pre-game. The AI model correctly did not expect a balanced game, reflecting the home side's advantage and higher team rate (0.496 compared to Universitario's 0.298). Independiente del Valle's recent form has been inconsistent, with losses in the Libertadores against Barcelona SC and in the Sudamericana against Boca Juniors, interspersed with a win against Liverpool in last year’s Libertadores. Similarly, Universitario's form has been mixed, with recent results including a loss to River Plate in the Libertadores and a draw against Alianza Lima in their domestic league.
Looking ahead, Independiente del Valle faces a tough challenge against River Plate in their next Libertadores match, while Universitario will play Melgar in the Peruvian Liga 1. Analyzing past head-to-head games, Independiente del Valle has the upper hand. Universitario is strong at home (rate 0.729), and they will try to impose their game, however, Melgar is also strong at home (rate 0.729).

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game