Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Atlético-MG defeated Botafogo 1-0 in a Brazilian Serie A match held at Estadio Mineirão on April 20, 2025. Tomás Cuello scored the decisive goal in the 48th minute. Botafogo's David Loiola received a red card in the 63rd minute, leaving his team with ten players. Atlético-MG had more possession (55%) and shots (13 total, 6 on target) compared to Botafogo (45% possession, 7 total shots, 2 on target). The home side committed 13 fouls and received 3 yellow cards, while Botafogo committed 14 fouls and received 2 yellow cards.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Botafogo win, with a 40.3% probability, which turned out to be incorrect. The AI did not expect a balanced game.
Atlético-MG's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of draws, wins, and losses in both Serie A and Copa Sudamericana. Their next match is against Juventude on May 5th. Juventude has also been inconsistent, struggling defensively in their recent matches, particularly in the heavy defeat against Flamengo (6-0). Historically, Atlético-MG has had mixed results against Juventude.
Botafogo, despite being rated higher than Atlético-MG before this game, also display a mixed recent form. Their next game is against Estudiantes de La Plata in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on April 23rd, where they face a team with a similarly inconsistent recent performance. Botafogo's recent games have seen them struggle away from home. This game continues a trend of Botafogo struggling to perform to their expected level against Atlético-MG, losing the match despite being rated higher by the AI. In their previous matches, they have had mixed results against Estudiantes de La Plata.

On April 20, 2025, Estadio Mineirão in Belo Horizonte will host a clash between Atlético-MG and Botafogo in the Brazilian Serie A. But this isn't just any match; AI algorithms have already predicted the outcome: a Botafogo victory. Despite playing at home, Atlético-MG, boasting a rate of 0.541, has only a 32.0% chance of winning, according to the model. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with draws against Vitória and São Paulo, a loss to Santos, sandwiched between a victory over Deportes Iquique.
Botafogo, with a slightly higher rate of 0.696, holds a 40.3% probability of securing the win, even away from home. Their recent matches reflect a similar pattern of mixed results, including a draw with São Paulo, a loss against Red Bull Bragantino, bookended by victories over Carabobo and Juventude. One of their star players, the young striker Matheus Nascimento, is expected to lead the attack. Another important player is Eduardo, the experienced midfielder, vital in the construction of the plays.
The AI's prediction also factors in a 27.8% chance of a draw. Recent head-to-head encounters suggest a competitive rivalry, but Botafogo has had the upper hand in the past.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game