Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a stunning upset in the Brazilian Serie A, Mirassol defeated Grêmio 4-1 at Estadio José Maria de Campos Maia. The match, held on April 16, 2025, saw Mirassol take an early lead with a goal from Daniel Borges in the 3rd minute, followed by a Reinaldo penalty in the 21st minute. Mirassol continued their dominance in the second half, with Reinaldo scoring again in the 78th minute and Daniel Borges completing his brace in the 85th minute. Grêmio managed a late consolation goal from Martin Braithwaite in the 82nd minute, but it wasn't enough to change the outcome.
The game statistics reveal that while Grêmio held the majority of possession with 58.9%, Mirassol were more clinical in front of goal, converting 6 of their 11 shots on target. Grêmio, despite having 16 total shots, also managed 6 shots on target, but Mirassol's goalkeeper proved to be more difficult to beat. The match was physical, with Grêmio committing 16 fouls and receiving 4 yellow cards, compared to Mirassol's 12 fouls and 2 yellow cards. The final score of 4-1 shows a big difference from team rates. Mirassol's team rate is 0.437, while Grêmio's team rate is 0.556.
Interestingly, the AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Mirassol win, aligning with the actual result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game and predicted a 43.5% win probability for Mirassol before the game, while the probability of a win for Grêmio was estimated to be 28.4%. The outcome suggests that Mirassol might be in better form than their previous results indicate, while Grêmio's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses in both the Brazilian Serie A and CONMEBOL Sudamericana.
Looking ahead, Mirassol will face Juventude away on April 20th. Juventude's recent form is mixed, with wins against Ceará and Vitória, but losses against Botafogo and Maringá. Mirassol's recent matches show two draws and two losses before this win against Grêmio. Grêmio, on the other hand, will have a tough match against Internacional on April 19th. Grêmio's recent form included losses against Flamengo and Ceará, but wins in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Internacional's recent form has been better, with wins against Atlético Nacional and Cruzeiro, and draws against Fortaleza and Bahia. The next "Grenal" is going to be very difficult for Grêmio to win.
This surprising victory for Mirassol could be a turning point for the team, providing them with much-needed momentum as they face Juventude. For Grêmio, this loss highlights the need to address their defensive vulnerabilities and improve their consistency if they hope to win the "Grenal". In the previous match between Mirassol and Grêmio, in Copa do Brasil 2022, Mirassol won 3-2.

On April 16, 2025, Mirassol will face Grêmio at Estadio José Maria de Campos Maia in a Brazilian Serie A match. AI predicts an upset, forecasting a Mirassol victory despite Grêmio's slightly higher team rating. The home team has a 43.5% chance of winning, while Grêmio's chances are pegged at 28.4%, with a 28.0% chance of a draw. Mirassol's recent form shows some struggles, with several losses and draws. Grêmio, boasting star midfielder Carballo, has had a mixed bag of results recently, alternating between wins in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana and losses in the Serie A. However, historically, Mirassol has defeated Grêmio once, back in 2022 at Copa do Brasil.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game