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The Brazilian Serie A is heating up as Atlético-MG prepares to host São Paulo on April 6, 2025, at the Estadio Mineirão. An AI algorithm predicts an Atlético-MG victory, despite São Paulo having a slightly stronger team rate (0.641 vs. Atlético-MG's 0.569). While the probability is not a sure thing, with a 44.4% chance for Atlético-MG and 28.8% for São Paulo, the model favors the home side. The last few matches for Atlético-MG have been a mixed bag, including a recent draw in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana and a loss to Grêmio.
Meanwhile, São Paulo secured a win in the CONMEBOL Libertadores but drew their last Serie A match against Sport. Keep an eye on Atlético-MG's Paulinho, whose pace and goal-scoring ability could be a key factor. São Paulo will rely on their experienced captain, Rafinha, to organize the defense and stifle Atlético-MG's attack. The AI suggests a tight contest, but ultimately leans towards a home victory for "Galo". The draw probability is 26.8%.

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