Football Prediction

Win Probability

Power Comparison in the League

Chance of scoring goals in the game

On May 1st, 2025, all eyes will be on the Estadio Monumental de la UNSA in Arequipa as Melgar hosts Comerciantes Unidos in a Peruvian Liga 1 clash. An AI prediction has already declared Melgar as the likely victor. The AI gives Melgar a 67.6% chance of winning, contrasting sharply with Comerciantes Unidos' mere 13.2% win probability. A draw is considered more probable than an away win, sitting at 19.3%.
Melgar, boasting a team rate of 0.712 compared to Comerciantes Unidos' 0.287, are the favorites. Despite a mixed run of recent form, including defeats in the league and Copa Sudamericana, Melgar's home form remains a significant advantage, particularly after their recent 4-0 victory over ADT. Their key player, Bernardo Cuesta, will aim to capitalize on his scoring opportunities.
Comerciantes Unidos, however, have struggled, losing four of their last five games, with their defense proving vulnerable. However, their midfielder, Enmanuel Paucar, has been a consistent threat going forward. The AI's prediction takes into account the historical head-to-head record, where Melgar has dominated. All signs point towards a challenging match for Comerciantes Unidos. Can they defy the odds, or will Melgar live up to the AI's prediction?

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