Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a surprising turn of events in the Colombian Primera A, Envigado triumphed over Deportes Tolima with a 3-1 victory at Polideportivo Sur. The AI had predicted a win for Deportes Tolima with a 42.9% probability, making Envigado's win a significant upset, given their lower team rate of 0.346 compared to Tolima's 0.579.
Envigado, playing in a 4-2-3-1 formation, capitalized on Tolima's errors, securing two goals from own goals, one by Marlon Torres and another by Fabián Mosquera, adding to Carlos Torres's early goal. Deportes Tolima, despite dominating possession with 65.6%, struggled to convert their opportunities, managing only one goal by Andrés Arroyo.
The match was characterized by a high number of fouls committed by Envigado (17), resulting in five yellow cards, indicating a physically intense approach. Tolima, in contrast, committed only eight fouls and received two yellow cards. Despite having more shots (13), Tolima only managed three on target.
The game unfolded with Envigado taking an early lead. Tolima equalized near halftime. Then Envigado benefitted from two own goals. Considering recent form, Envigado's victory breaks a pattern of inconsistent results, having lost two, drawn two, and won only one of their previous five matches. Deportes Tolima, before this game, had been in decent form, winning three, drawing one, and losing one of their last five games.
Looking ahead, Envigado will play Unión Magdalena at home. Unión Magdalena has struggled recently, drawing three and losing two of their last five. Deportes Tolima will host La Equidad, who have also had mixed results.
Historically, Deportes Tolima had a dominant record against Envigado. However, the element of surprise and own goals played a huge role in this game. The result highlights the unpredictable nature of football and underscores the importance of converting possession into tangible scoring opportunities.

On April 20, 2025, Envigado will face Deportes Tolima at Polideportivo Sur in a Colombian Primera A match. AI is predicting a win for Deportes Tolima, with a 42.9% probability compared to Envigado's 29.8%. A draw is considered at 27.3%. Deportes Tolima, spearheaded by their prolific midfielder, likely to dominate the midfield. Envigado, struggling in recent games, will need a stellar performance from their young forward to defy the odds. Last head-to-head games also show dominance of Deportes Tolima over Envigado. Deportes Tolima recent performance and their stronger team rate (0.579 vs 0.346) give them the edge in this encounter.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game