Football Result

Marino Hinestroza 45'+3'
Andrés Sarmiento 47'
Billy Arce 63'
Alfredo Morelos 87'
Frank Lozano 90'+2'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
60.4%
21.6%
18%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.571
0.302
Game Stats
Goals
4
1
Shots on Target
12
1
Shots
26
4
Possession
63.6%
36.4%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow Cards
0
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
2
Offsides
1
4
Saves
0
8
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-3-3


Location
Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia
2025-04-17 | Game Summary

In a dominant display at the Atanasio Girardot, Atlético Nacional defeated Boyacá Chicó 4-1 in their Colombian Primera A match on April 16, 2025. Atlético Nacional, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, controlled the game with 63.6% possession and unleashed a barrage of 26 shots, 12 of which were on target. Boyacá Chicó, in a 4-3-3 setup, struggled to create chances, managing only 4 shots with a single one testing the keeper.
The goals for Atlético Nacional came from Marino Hinestroza just before halftime (45'+3'), Andrés Sarmiento early in the second half (47'), Billy Arce in the 63rd minute, and Alfredo Morelos late in the game (87'). Frank Lozano scored a consolation goal for Boyacá Chicó in stoppage time (90'+2'). The home side's relentless attack forced Boyacá Chicó's goalkeeper into 8 saves. The away team also accumulated two yellow cards.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly anticipated an Atlético Nacional victory, aligning with their stronger team rating (0.571) compared to Boyacá Chicó (0.302) and the predicted win probability of 60.4%. The AI also expected it to be an unbalanced game, which it was.
Atlético Nacional seems to be finding form, displaying a strong attacking prowess in this match after a string of mixed results, including a draw against Millonarios and a loss in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. This victory is reminiscent of their previous home games against Unión Magdalena and Nacional, where they also secured wins. Their next challenge is an away game against Deportivo Cali, a team currently struggling for consistency. Deportivo Cali have had a mixed run of form recently, and their last h2h games against Atlético Nacional have been a draw.
Boyacá Chicó, on the other hand, continues to struggle, failing to win any of their last five matches. Their upcoming match against Fortaleza CEIF, a team also facing difficulties, presents an opportunity to turn their form around. Considering Boyacá Chicó's recent defensive frailties and struggles in creating clear-cut chances, they must address these issues to improve their chances in the upcoming match. In their previous games the team has struggled, especially in away games.
Looking at their head-to-head history, Atlético Nacional has dominated Boyacá Chicó in recent encounters, particularly at home. Atlético Nacional will be looking to carry the momentum from this convincing win into their next fixture.

2025-04-15 | Pre-game insights

On April 16, 2025, Atlético Nacional will face Boyacá Chicó at Atanasio Girardot in Medellín, Colombia, in a Colombian Primera A match. An AI model predicts a victory for Atlético Nacional with a 60.4% probability, contrasting sharply with Boyacá Chicó's 18.0% chance of winning. The draw probability stands at 21.6%. Atlético Nacional's recent form has been mixed, with a draw against Millonarios and a loss in the CONMEBOL Libertadores against Internacional, but also victories against Unión Magdalena and Nacional. Keep an eye on experienced midfielder Dorlan Pabón, a key player for Atlético Nacional, known for his playmaking abilities. Boyacá Chicó will need a strong defensive showing to contain Nacional's attack. The AI's prediction aligns with Atlético Nacional's higher team rate of 0.571 compared to Boyacá Chicó's 0.302.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance