Football Result

Andrés Arroyo 55'
Adrián Parra 81'
Frank Castañeda 39'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
51%
26.1%
22.9%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.568
0.525
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots
12
9
Possession
39.7%
60.3%
Fouls
12
7
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
3
Offsides
0
0
Saves
0
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague, Colombia
2025-04-06 | Game Summary

Deportes Tolima emerged victorious against Bucaramanga in their Colombian Primera A clash on April 5, 2025, with a final score of 2-1. The match, held at Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibague, saw Deportes Tolima overcoming a possession deficit (39.7% vs 60.3%) to secure the win. Bucaramanga's Frank Castañeda opened the scoring in the 39th minute, but Deportes Tolima responded with goals from Andrés Arroyo in the 55th minute and Adrián Parra in the 81st minute. Deportes Tolima had a slight edge in shots on target, converting two of their six attempts, while Bucaramanga only managed one goal from their single shot on target. The match saw a higher foul count from Deportes Tolima (12) compared to Bucaramanga (7), resulting in more yellow cards for the home side (3) against Bucaramanga's 2.
The AI's pre-game prediction of a Deportes Tolima win proved accurate. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, and its prediction of 51.0% for Deportes Tolima winning proved correct. Deportes Tolima's recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five Colombian Primera A matches, and Bucaramanga's form has been more inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions. Looking back at their recent head-to-head games, Deportes Tolima have had some success against Bucaramanga, winning the last match played between them in September 2024 (2-0).
Deportes Tolima's ability to convert their chances despite having less possession was key to their victory. Their upcoming match against Atlético Junior will be a significant test, given Atlético Junior's strong recent form. Bucaramanga will need to improve their finishing and maintain their discipline to bounce back in their next match against Fortaleza CEIF, especially considering their recent draw in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. In the last match between Bucaramanga and Fortaleza CEIF, Bucaramanga won 1-0. Deportes Tolima have won 4 of their last 5 matches showing great form, while Bucaramanga is very unstable.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance