Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a match of the Colombian Primera A, played on April 5, 2025, Atlético Nacional secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Unión Magdalena at the Atanasio Girardot in Medellin. The game was dominated by Atlético Nacional, reflected in their 72.7% possession and a significantly higher number of shots (17) compared to Unión Magdalena's 4. However, they only managed 5 shots on target. The only goal of the match came late, with Dairon Asprilla scoring in the 94th minute, securing the win for the home side.
The match was fairly contested, with Atlético Nacional committing 16 fouls and receiving 2 yellow cards, while Unión Magdalena committed 14 fouls and received 4 yellow cards. Unión Magdalena's goalkeeper had a busier day, making 4 saves compared to Atlético Nacional's 2. The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly foresaw an Atlético Nacional win, aligning with the final result and with a 61.2% win probability. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, and this was proven correct by Atlético Nacional's dominance in possession and shots.
Atlético Nacional, playing in a 4-1-4-1 formation, demonstrated their ability to control the game at home. However, their finishing could be improved, as they struggled to convert their dominance into goals until the very end. In contrast, Unión Magdalena, lined up in a 4-4-2 formation, struggled to create scoring opportunities.
Looking at their recent form, Atlético Nacional has been inconsistent, mixing wins in the CONMEBOL Libertadores with losses and draws in the league. Their upcoming match against Millonarios will be a tough test, especially considering Millonarios' strong home record and recent winning streak in the Colombian Primera A. Atlético Nacional will need to improve their discipline, as they accumulated several red cards in recent games.
Unión Magdalena's form has been poor, with several losses and draws in their recent matches. They will face Deportivo Pereira in their next game, a team that has also shown inconsistency. Unión Magdalena will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities and improve their attacking output if they hope to turn their fortunes around.
Analyzing previous head-to-head games, Atlético Nacional has generally had the upper hand against Unión Magdalena, particularly at home. The last several matches between Millonarios and Atlético Nacional have been closely contested. In the head-to-head games between Unión Magdalena and Deportivo Pereira, each team has had wins.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game