Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a surprising result in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Sarmiento (Junín) defeated Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 at the José Amalfitani stadium. The AI had predicted a Vélez Sarsfield win with a 47.7% probability, making Sarmiento's victory an upset given their lower team rate of 0.354 compared to Vélez's 0.57. Despite Vélez Sarsfield dominating possession with 66.7% and registering 18 total shots, only 4 were on target, highlighting their inefficiency in front of goal. Sarmiento, playing a 4-4-1-1 formation, capitalized on one of their few opportunities, with Franco Farías scoring the decisive goal in the 71st minute.
The match was characterized by a high foul count, with Sarmiento committing 13 fouls and receiving 6 yellow cards, while Vélez committed 11 fouls and received 3 yellow cards. Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper was largely untested, registering 0 saves, a testament to Sarmiento's limited attacking threat. Sarmiento's goalkeeper, on the other hand, made 4 saves, crucial to maintaining their clean sheet and securing the victory.
Analyzing recent form, Vélez Sarsfield's performance has been inconsistent, mixing wins in the CONMEBOL Libertadores with losses in the league. Their next match is away against Talleres (Córdoba), a team that has been drawing a lot of matches. On the other hand, Sarmiento (Junín) has struggled for wins recently, drawing many of their league games before this victory. Their next fixture is at home against Platense.
In their last five encounters, Vélez Sarsfield had won two, Sarmiento had won one and there were two draws. Sarmiento's win breaks Vélez's recent dominance in head-to-head matches played at home. This victory could provide a significant morale boost for Sarmiento (Junín) as they look to climb the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol table, while Vélez Sarsfield will need to address their finishing woes before their next match. The AI prediction clearly missed the mark, failing to account for Sarmiento's resilience and Vélez's inability to convert chances.

On April 14, 2025, Velez Sarsfield will host Sarmiento (Junín) at the José Amalfitani stadium in a match of the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol. According to advanced AI predictions, Velez Sarsfield is the likely victor, with a 47.7% win probability compared to Sarmiento's 25.2%. The AI gives a 27.1% probability for a draw. Velez comes off a strong 4-0 victory against Olimpia in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Sarmiento has struggled for wins recently, drawing most of their last matches. All eyes will be on Velez Sarsfield's young starlet, Mateo Pellegrino, whose recent performances have been outstanding, and on experienced captain, Diego Godín, a key player in the team. While Sarmiento will undoubtedly put up a fight, the AI suggests that Velez Sarsfield's home advantage and recent form will be decisive.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game