Football Result

Lucas Castro 33'
Luciano Giménez 90'+3'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
30.6%
27.9%
41.5%
We were not sure.
Power Comparison in the League
0.489
0.547
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots
11
16
Possession
37.1%
62.9%
Fouls
16
13
Yellow Cards
6
6
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
2
Offsides
0
0
Saves
6
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
5-3-2


Location
Juan Carmelo Zerillo (El Bosque), La Plata, Argentina
2025-04-14 | Game Summary

In a tense Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol clash at the Juan Carmelo Zerillo (El Bosque), Gimnasia La Plata and Estudiantes de La Plata battled to a 1-1 draw. Lucas Castro put Gimnasia ahead in the 33rd minute, but Luciano Giménez equalized for Estudiantes deep into stoppage time (90'+3'). The match was fiercely contested, with a total of 12 yellow cards brandished (6 for each team) and 29 fouls committed. Estudiantes dominated possession with 62.9%, but Gimnasia managed to convert their opportunities. Estudiantes had more shots (16 to 11) and shots on target (7 to 5), but Gimnasia's goalkeeper put on a strong performance, registering 6 saves.
The AI had predicted an Estudiantes win with 41.5% probability, and 30.6% for Gimnasia La Plata win, while 27.9% for draw. The game ending in a draw contradicts this pre-game analysis, although the prediction of a balanced game was verified by the result. Gimnasia's recent form has been poor, marked by several losses and draws, and they will face a tough challenge against River Plate in their next match. Similarly, Estudiantes has also struggled recently, losing three of their last five games including a recent home loss in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. They face a tough away fixture against Boca Juniors next.
Looking at previous head-to-head matches, derbies between these two teams in La Plata are often close affairs. Gimnasia will need to improve their defensive solidity to get a result against a strong River Plate team. Estudiantes need to bounce back after recent defeats, and they need to find a way to score against a strong Boca Juniors side.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance