Football Result

Nicolás Fernández 41'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
56.6%
24.4%
19%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.55
0.419
Game Stats
Goals
0
1
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots
14
7
Possession
64.7%
35.3%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
9
5
Offsides
2
1
Saves
0
4
Team Formations
4-1-4-1
4-4-2


Location
Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata, Argentina
2025-04-05 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Belgrano (Córdoba) defeated Estudiantes de La Plata 1-0 at Jorge Luis Hirschi. Nicolás Fernández scored the decisive goal in the 41st minute. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Estudiantes de La Plata with a 56.6% win probability, making Belgrano's victory an upset. The game was not expected to be balanced by the AI model.
Estudiantes, playing a 4-1-4-1 formation, dominated possession with 64.7% but struggled to convert it into goals, managing only 4 shots on target out of 14 total shots. Belgrano, in a 4-4-2 formation, were clinical with their limited opportunities, scoring from their only shot on target. Estudiantes committed 11 fouls, receiving 1 yellow card, while Belgrano committed 13 fouls and received 3 yellow cards.
Estudiantes' recent form has been inconsistent, with a win in the CONMEBOL Libertadores against Carabobo, but losses against Barracas Central and Defensa y Justicia in the league, alongside a draw against Newell's Old Boys. Their next match is against Gimnasia La Plata, a local derby. Based on recent form, where Gimnasia has struggled with draws and losses, Estudiantes might be considered slight favorites, but derbies are unpredictable.
Belgrano's form has been similarly patchy, with several draws in their recent Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches, a loss against San Martín (San Juan) and a win against Defensa y Justicia. Belgrano's upcoming game is against Boca Juniors. Considering Boca's stronger team rate and recent form, Belgrano will face a tough challenge.
Historically, recent head-to-head games show a mixed bag of results between Estudiantes and Belgrano, with both teams securing wins. In Estudiantes' recent games against Gimnasia, they have performed well. Belgrano and Boca Juniors have also had some interesting results with high scores.
This match saw Belgrano capitalizing on Estudiantes' inability to convert possession into goals, securing a valuable away win in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The result demonstrates that even with statistical dominance, a lack of finishing can be costly. The AI prediction missed the mark, highlighting the inherent unpredictability of football.

2025-04-03 | Pre-game insights

On April 4th, 2025, Estudiantes de La Plata will face Belgrano (Córdoba) at the Jorge Luis Hirschi stadium. An AI model predicts a victory for the home side, with a 56.6% probability. Estudiantes, spearheaded by the promising young midfielder, Franco Zapiola, are looking to capitalize on their recent 2-0 away win against Carabobo in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. However, their recent league form has been inconsistent. Belgrano, with a weaker team rate, will rely on their experienced goalkeeper, Nahuel Losada, to thwart Estudiantes' attack. The AI gives Belgrano a mere 19.0% chance of winning. A draw is considered more probable than an away win, at 24.4%.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance