Football Result

Jesús Gallardo 16'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
27.4%
23.1%
49.5%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.434
0.58
Game Stats
Goals
0
1
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots
11
11
Possession
50.7%
49.3%
Fouls
12
11
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
11
7
Offsides
0
6
Saves
4
2
Team Formations
3-4-3
3-4-2-1


Location
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez, San Luis Potosi, Mexico
2025-04-17 | Game Summary

In a match of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX Torneo Clausura, Toluca secured a 1-0 victory over Atlético de San Luis at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez. Jesús Gallardo scored the decisive goal in the 16th minute, giving Toluca an early lead they maintained throughout the game. While possession was nearly split (50.7% for San Luis and 49.3% for Toluca), Toluca managed five shots on target compared to San Luis's two, showcasing better accuracy. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls (12 by San Luis and 11 by Toluca) and received one yellow card each.
The AI's pre-game prediction favored a Toluca win, which aligned with the actual result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, reflecting the difference in team ratings (0.434 for San Luis and 0.58 for Toluca) and pre-game win probabilities (27.4% for San Luis and 49.5% for Toluca).
Atlético de San Luis's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five league games. They will need to improve their attacking output, as evidenced by their lack of goals in this match, before their next game against Pachuca. In their recent matches against Pachuca, Atlético de San Luis have had mixed results.
Toluca, on the other hand, is in excellent form, having won their last five Liga BBVA MX matches. Their attack has been prolific, and they appear well-positioned for their upcoming match against Cruz Azul. Considering both teams' current forms and Cruz Azul's strong performance lately, Toluca will face a tough challenge. Looking at the recent history of matches between Toluca and Cruz Azul, it is also expected to be a competitive match, where anything can happen.

2025-04-15 | Pre-game insights

On April 16, 2025, Atlético de San Luis will face Toluca at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez in a Mexican Liga BBVA MX match. AI predicts a Toluca victory, giving them a 49.5% win probability compared to Atlético de San Luis's 27.4%. Toluca, with a team rate of 0.58, is considered the stronger side, while Atlético de San Luis has a team rate of 0.434. Keep an eye on Toluca's attacking midfielder, Marcel Ruiz, known for his vision and goal-scoring ability. The last head-to-head games were mostly won by Toluca. Atlético de San Luis will need a strong performance to defy the odds. The draw probability is estimated at 23.1%.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance