Football Result

Eduardo Aguirre 30', 45'+1'
Paulinho 15', 24', 77'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
24.4%
23.8%
51.9%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.386
0.575
Game Stats
Goals
2
3
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots
13
13
Possession
42.6%
57.4%
Fouls
18
12
Yellow Cards
5
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
7
4
Offsides
0
2
Saves
4
4
Team Formations
3-5-2
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara, Mexico
2025-04-13 | Game Summary

In a thrilling Mexican Liga BBVA MX match held on April 12, 2025, at Estadio Jalisco, Toluca emerged victorious against Atlas with a score of 3-2. The game saw Toluca dominate possession with 57.4%, while Atlas held 42.6%. Both teams had a similar number of total shots (13), but Toluca edged Atlas in shots on target, with 7 compared to Atlas's 6. Toluca's Paulinho was the star of the match, scoring a hat-trick in the 15th, 24th, and 77th minutes. Atlas responded with goals from Eduardo Aguirre in the 30th and 45+1st minutes.
The match was intense, with a total of 30 fouls committed and 8 yellow cards issued (5 to Atlas and 3 to Toluca). Both goalkeepers recorded 4 saves each. Atlas played with a 3-5-2 formation, while Toluca utilized a 4-2-3-1 setup. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Toluca win, which proved accurate. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, correctly anticipating Toluca's higher win probability of 51.9% compared to Atlas's 24.4%.
Atlas has struggled in recent matches, losing 3 of their last 5 games. Their next match is against Queretaro, who have had a mixed run of form. Toluca, on the other hand, is in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. They will face Atlético de San Luis in their next game, a team they have dominated in recent head-to-head encounters.
Looking back at the previous head-to-head games between Atlas and Toluca, Toluca has often had the upper hand, winning their last two encounters before this one. Toluca's recent strong form and historical dominance over Atlas suggest they were rightly favored to win this match. Atlas's next game against Queretaro will be crucial for them to improve their form and regain confidence, especially considering their recent struggles and the fact that Queretaro won last head-to-head game between them.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Atlas
D L L W W
Toluca
W W W W L