Football Result

Paulinho 39'
Marcel Ruiz 45'+2'
Javier Güemez 66'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
61.8%
21.9%
16.3%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.566
0.353
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots
14
16
Possession
52.8%
47.2%
Fouls
20
12
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
1
4
Offsides
1
0
Saves
1
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio Nemesio Diez Riega, Toluca, Mexico
Attendance
27,273
2025-04-07 | Game Summary

In a match of the Mexican Liga BBVA MX played on April 6, 2025, Toluca defeated Santos with a score of 2-1 at Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega. Toluca, playing with a 4-2-3-1 formation, secured the win despite Santos having more shots on goal. Paulinho opened the scoring for Toluca in the 39th minute, followed by Marcel Ruiz just before halftime. Javier Güemez scored for Santos in the 66th minute, but it wasn't enough to equalize.
The game was closely contested, with Toluca holding a slight edge in possession (52.8% to 47.2%). However, Santos managed to produce 16 total shots compared to Toluca's 14, although only 2 were on target, while Toluca managed 6 on target. The match saw a high number of fouls, with Toluca committing 20 compared to Santos' 12. Toluca received 1 yellow card, while Santos received 3.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Toluca victory, aligning with their higher team rate (0.566) compared to Santos (0.353), and the home team's win probability was predicted at 61.8%.
Toluca's recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five matches, demonstrating their dominance in the league. Their next game is away against Atlas, a team with a weaker team rate and inconsistent recent results. Toluca has dominated Atlas in the recent head-to-head matches, winning all 3 of the last home games.
Santos, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing three of their last five games. Their next match is at home against Querétaro. Santos has lost 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Querétaro. This win for Toluca continues their positive momentum in the Torneo Clausura, while Santos needs to address their defensive vulnerabilities.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Toluca
W W W L W
Santos
L L W L W