Football Result

Catarina Macario 1'
Kerolin 24'
Amanda Gutierres 90'+5'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55.5%
24%
20.5%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.838
0.705
Game Stats
Goals
1
2
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots
18
19
Possession
42.2%
57.8%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
8
7
Offsides
0
1
Saves
5
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2


Location
PayPal Park, San Jose, California
2025-04-09 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events, Brazil defeated the United States 2-1 in their Women's International Friendly match at PayPal Park, San Jose, California on April 8, 2025. The AI had predicted a United States victory with a 55.5% probability, making Brazil's win an upset. This game defied the AI's prediction, highlighting the unpredictable nature of soccer.
The United States started strong, with Catarina Macario scoring in the very first minute, setting a positive tone for the home side. However, Brazil quickly responded, with Kerolin leveling the score in the 24th minute. The game remained a tight affair until the dying moments when Amanda Gutierres scored a late goal in the 95th minute, securing the victory for Brazil.
Statistically, Brazil dominated possession with 57.8% compared to the United States' 42.2%. While the shot count was similar (19 for Brazil, 18 for the USA), Brazil managed to get 7 shots on target compared to the USA's 5, showcasing slightly better accuracy. The USA committed fewer fouls (9 vs 13) and received one yellow card, while Brazil avoided any cautions.
The result is particularly significant given the United States' recent form, which included a win against Brazil just three days prior and a generally strong showing in the SheBelieves Cup. Brazil, on the other hand, had a mixed bag of results recently, including a loss to the USA in their previous match. The win allows Brazil to end a series of defeats by USA and to prove that they could perform better.
Looking back at their head-to-head record, the United States had dominated recent encounters. Brazil's victory in this game breaks that pattern, indicating a potential shift in the balance between the two teams. The USA needs to analyze the result and figure out how they can play better at the next match. The tactical formation of Brazil also needs to be considered. It is a shift from Brazil to use 3-4-1-2.
Brazil's ability to secure a late winner reflects their resilience and determination. The United States, despite a quick start, failed to maintain their advantage and will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities. This match serves as a valuable learning experience for both teams as they prepare for future competitions. This result also reveals that the United States are not as strong as before.

2025-04-07 | Pre-game insights

On April 8, 2025, PayPal Park in San Jose, California, will host a thrilling Women's International Friendly between the United States and Brazil. An AI model has predicted a victory for the home team. The AI gives the United States a 55.5% chance of winning, while Brazil's chances stand at only 20.5%, with a 24.0% chance of a draw. This prediction is supported by the United States' recent form, which includes a 2-0 victory over Brazil just days before.
The US team, boasting an impressive rating of 0.838, will rely on the talent of veteran Alex Morgan, whose experience and clinical finishing will be crucial. The midfield maestro, Rose Lavelle, will be pivotal in dictating the tempo and unlocking the Brazilian defense. While Brazil, rated at 0.705, have shown glimpses of brilliance, their recent 2-0 defeat against the United States suggests they face an uphill battle. The team will heavily depend on Marta's creativity and Bia Zaneratto's goal-scoring ability to challenge the American defense.
The historical head-to-head record also favors the United States, who have won the last four encounters against Brazil. This adds another layer of confidence to the AI's prediction. Football fans around the world will be eagerly watching to see if the AI's prediction comes true, or if Brazil can defy the odds and secure a victory on American soil.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
United States
W W D W W
Brazil
L W W W D