Football Result

Arianna Caruso 59'
Lucia Di Guglielmo 79'
Cristiana Girelli 86'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
53.5%
25.1%
21.5%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.603
0.534
Game Stats
Goals
0
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots
6
13
Possession
51.6%
48.4%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
3
Offsides
0
0
Saves
1
3
Team Formations
3-5-2
4-1-4-1


Location
MCH Arena, Herning, Denmark
2025-04-09 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events in the UEFA Women's Nations League, Italy triumphed over Denmark with a decisive 3-0 victory at the MCH Arena in Herning. The game, part of the Group Stage, saw Italy defy pre-game predictions which favored a Denmark win with a 53.5% probability, while Italy had only a 21.5% chance. The AI model incorrectly anticipated a balanced game. Despite Denmark holding a slight edge in possession at 51.6% compared to Italy's 48.4%, the Italian side proved more clinical in front of goal. Italy's goals came in the second half, with Arianna Caruso opening the scoring in the 59th minute, followed by Lucia Di Guglielmo in the 79th minute, and Cristiana Girelli sealing the win in the 86th minute.
Italy registered 13 total shots, with 4 on target, while Denmark managed only 6 shots, with 3 testing the Italian goalkeeper. The Italian goalkeeper saved 3 shots and the Danish keeper saved 1. Italy committed fewer fouls (9) compared to Denmark (12) and received one yellow card. This result marks a significant turnaround for Italy, especially considering their recent form and previous encounter with Denmark in the UEFA Women's Nations League on February 25th, where they lost 1-3. Prior to this match, Italy had struggled, losing to Sweden 3-2 on April 4th.
Denmark, on the other hand, had won against Wales 2-1 on April 4th, but failed to replicate that success on home turf. Before the game, Denmark was rated 0.603 and Italy 0.534. Denmark's recent form has been mixed, with a loss to Sweden (1-2) in February and a win against Iceland (2-0) in a friendly. Italy's victory could be a crucial turning point in their campaign, boosting their confidence for upcoming matches. For Denmark, this loss will require them to reassess their strategy.

2025-04-07 | Pre-game insights

On April 8th, 2025, Denmark will face Italy in a UEFA Women's Nations League match at the MCH Arena in Herning. AI predicts a victory for Denmark, with a 53.5% win probability compared to Italy's 21.5%. The AI's analysis gives Denmark a rate of 0.603 and Italy a rate of 0.534. The draw probability is calculated at 25.1%. Denmark's recent form includes a 2-1 win against Wales and a 3-1 victory over Italy, but also a 2-1 loss against Sweden. Key players for Denmark include Pernille Harder, known for her clinical finishing and leadership, and young talent Kathrine Kühl, a dynamic midfielder. Italy, on the other hand, is coming off a 3-2 defeat against Sweden. Their star player, Cristiana Girelli, will be crucial for their attacking hopes. The last head-to-head game saw Denmark triumph 3-1, further supporting the AI's prediction. Will Italy defy the odds, or will Denmark secure another win on home soil?

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Denmark
W W L W D
Italy
L W D W L
H2H Record before the game
0
Denmark
0
Draws
0
Italy