Football Result
Filippa Angeldal 75'
Fridolina Rolfö 90'+5' Pen
Michela Cambiaghi 84'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
In a thrilling UEFA Women's Nations League match held at Strawberry Arena in Stockholm, Sweden, the home side Sweden emerged victorious with a 3-2 win over Italy. The game, part of the group stage, saw Italy take an early lead through Emma Severini in the 1st minute, stunning the home crowd. Sweden, however, responded in the second half with goals from Kosovare Asllani in the 56th minute, Filippa Angeldal in the 75th minute, and a late penalty converted by Fridolina Rolfö in the 90'+5 minute. Michela Cambiaghi scored for Italy in the 84th minute, setting up a tense finish, but Sweden held on to secure the win.
Sweden showcased dominance in possession, holding 54.3% of the ball, and created more scoring opportunities, registering 22 total shots compared to Italy's 10. However, both teams were equally efficient in converting shots on target, with Sweden having 6 on target and Italy 5, demonstrating a balanced attacking threat despite the disparity in overall shots. The match was also characterized by a high number of fouls, with Sweden committing 16 fouls compared to Italy's 6, indicating a more aggressive approach from the Swedish side.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Sweden to win, with a 57.2% win probability, and the actual result aligned with this prediction. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, and Sweden's higher team rate (0.722) compared to Italy's (0.544) further supported this assessment.
Analyzing the recent form of both teams, Sweden seems to be in good shape, having won 3 of their last 5 games, including a victory over Australia in the FIFA Women's World Cup and most recently a win over Denmark. Italy, on the other hand, has had a mixed run of form, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw in their last 5 games. The upcoming match for Sweden is against Wales, while Italy will face Denmark.
Looking back at previous games, Sweden's attacking prowess was evident in their 5-0 victory over Italy in the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup. However, Italy had previously defeated Sweden 1-0 in a 2018 friendly, indicating their capability to challenge the Swedish side. Italy's recent loss to Denmark and Sweden's draw against Wales indicates both teams have vulnerabilities to address in their upcoming matches. Given Sweden's current form and home advantage, they will likely approach their next game against Wales with confidence. Italy needs to improve their consistency to get a favorable result in the next game against Denmark.
On April 4, 2025, Gamla Ullevi in Gu00f6teborg, Sweden, will host a crucial UEFA Women's Nations League match between Sweden and Italy. Football fans are buzzing with anticipation, especially since an AI model has predicted a Sweden victory. The AI gives Sweden a 57.2% chance of winning, contrasting sharply with Italy's 20.0%, and a 22.9% chance of a draw. Sweden, with a team rate of 0.722, is considered the stronger side compared to Italy's 0.544.
Sweden's recent form has been decent, including victories in the FIFA Women's World Cup and a recent UEFA Women's Nations League match against Denmark. Keep an eye on Stina Blackstenius, the lethal striker known for her clinical finishing, and Kosovare Asllani, the creative midfielder orchestrating play.
Italy, however, will be looking to defy the odds. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and losses. The team will rely on the experience of Cristiana Girelli, their all-time leading scorer, to find the back of the net. The AI's prediction has added an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter, setting the stage for a potentially thrilling match in Gu00f6teborg. The last head-to-head game at the FIFA Women's World Cup ended with 5-0 for Sweden. Will Italy be able to turn the tide?
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Sweden
Draws
Italy