Football Result

Mohamed Sbai 10'
Matias Vargas 69'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
29.2%
24.8%
46%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.316
0.67
Game Stats
Goals
2
0
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots
18
12
Possession
29.8%
70.2%
Fouls
18
10
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
7
Offsides
0
0
Saves
5
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Al Fateh Club Stadium, Al-Hofuf, Saudi Arabia
Attendance
11,278
2025-04-18 | Game Summary

Al Fateh pulled off a surprising 2-0 victory against Al Ittihad in their Saudi Pro League match at Al Fateh Club Stadium. Mohamed Sbai opened the scoring early in the 10th minute, giving Al Fateh a crucial lead. Matias Vargas then sealed the victory with a goal in the 69th minute. Despite having significantly less possession (29.8%) compared to Al Ittihad (70.2%), Al Fateh were more clinical in front of goal, converting two of their five shots on target. Al Ittihad, despite dominating possession and having five shots on target, failed to find the net.
The AI prediction favored an Al Ittihad win, making this result an upset. The predicted win probability for Al Ittihad was 46.0% before the game, with Al Fateh only having a 29.2% chance of winning. This victory demonstrates the unpredictability of football, even when one team is heavily favored.
Al Fateh's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games before this match. This victory against Al Ittihad could provide a significant boost in confidence as they prepare to face Al Riyadh in their next game. Al Riyadh's form has also been inconsistent, with one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five matches. The last head-to-head games between Al Fateh and Al Riyadh show mixed results, suggesting their next game will be closely contested.
Al Ittihad, despite this loss, has generally been in good form, with three wins and two draws in their previous five games. They will be looking to bounce back quickly in their next match against Al Ettifaq, where they will have the home advantage. Al Ettifaq has struggled for consistency, drawing three and losing one of their last five games, and winning only once. Historically, matches between Al Ittihad and Al Ettifaq have been high-scoring affairs.
Analyzing previous games, Al Fateh's victory breaks Al Ittihad's dominance in their head-to-head record. Al Ittihad had won the last three encounters before this match. Al Fateh's tactical approach, focusing on efficiency in attack and solid defense, proved effective in countering Al Ittihad's possession-based game. The 4-2-3-1 formations employed by both teams led to a tactical battle in midfield, which Al Fateh ultimately won. Al Fateh's ability to capitalize on their limited chances was key to their success.
This win shows a turnaround in Al Fateh's performance compared to some of their earlier games where they struggled to convert chances. This match highlighted Al Fateh's improved efficiency in front of goal, contrasting with Al Ittihad's inability to convert their possession into goals.

2025-04-16 | Pre-game insights

On April 17, 2025, Al Fateh will host Al Ittihad at the Al Fateh Club Stadium in Al-Hofuf, Saudi Arabia, for a Saudi Pro League clash. An AI model predicts an Al Ittihad victory, with a 46.0% win probability compared to Al Fateh's 29.2%. The probability of a draw is calculated at 24.8%. Al Ittihad, boasting a team rate of 0.67, are considered the stronger side with stars like Karim Benzema leading their attack, while Al Fateh's team rate sits at 0.316. Al Ittihad's recent form shows consistency, with a mix of wins and draws in their last five games, including a King's Cup victory. Meanwhile, Al Fateh's recent performance has been more erratic, with two losses, two wins, and a draw. Historically, Al Ittihad has dominated the head-to-head matchups, winning the last five matches in a row. Fans will be eager to see if Al Ittihad's attacking prowess, powered by Benzema's experience, will be enough to overcome Al Fateh on their home turf, or if the home side can defy the AI's prediction. The AI prediction is not a fact, but a possibility, so everything can happen on the field.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Al Fateh
W D W L L
Al Ittihad
W D W W D