Football Result
Ivan Toney 45'+3', 68' Pen
Riyad Mahrez 82'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
In a dominant display at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Sports City Stadium, Al Ahli crushed Al Fayha 5-0 in their Saudi Pro League match on April 18, 2025. Ibañez scored twice in the first half (17', 37'), setting the tone for Al Ahli's commanding performance. Ivan Toney added two more goals, one just before halftime (45'+3') and another from the penalty spot in the 68th minute. Riyad Mahrez capped off the victory with a goal in the 82nd minute.
Al Fayha's struggles were compounded by a red card to their goalkeeper, Orlando Mosquera, early in the second half (48'). Al Ahli's superior possession (56.8% to 43.2%) and significantly higher number of shots (17 to 2) reflected their dominance. Al Ahli's tactical formation of 4-2-3-1 proved far more effective than Al Fayha's 3-4-2-1.
The pre-game AI prediction favored an Al Ahli win, which was accurate. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, which also proved correct given Al Ahli's overwhelming performance.
Al Ahli, with a team rate of 0.614, were clearly the stronger side compared to Al Fayha's 0.356. Al Ahli's win probability was predicted at 58.4%, aligning with the actual outcome. Al Fayha's poor performance continues a worrying trend, as this match follows a pattern of conceding goals against strong opponents.
Looking ahead, Al Ahli will play away against Al Wehda, who have shown mixed form recently. Al Ahli will need to maintain their offensive strength while remaining solid defensively, remembering their recent draws against Al Ittihad and Al Khaleej. Al Fayha will host Damac, and will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities exposed in this match if they want to turn things around. Damac also has some problems with red cards.
Analyzing recent games, Al Ahli has been inconsistent, alternating wins and draws, with a loss against Al Okhdood, highlighting potential vulnerabilities against teams that can disrupt their rhythm. In contrast, Al Fayha's form has been similarly patchy, with wins against Al Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq, but a loss against Al Hilal showing their difficulty against stronger opposition.
Historically, Al Ahli has had the upper hand in head-to-head matches against both Al Fayha and Al Wehda, which could give them a psychological advantage in their upcoming fixtures. This victory will boost Al Ahli's confidence significantly heading into their next Saudi Pro League fixture.
Football fans are eagerly awaiting the Saudi Pro League match on April 18, 2025, between Al Ahli and Al Fayha at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Sports City Stadium. An AI model has predicted a victory for Al Ahli, giving them a 58.4% win probability compared to Al Fayha's 17.6%. The AI's analysis also suggests a 24.0% chance of a draw. Considering Al Ahli's recent form, including a 2-0 victory against Al Raed, the AI's prediction seems plausible, even after the draw against Al Ittihad. Furthermore, Al Ahli boasts a stronger team rating of 0.614 compared to Al Fayha's 0.356. Al Ahli's key players, including their star forward, should be ones to watch. Al Fayha will need to overcome the odds and deliver an exceptional performance to upset the AI's prediction and Al Ahli's strength on their home turf.
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Al Ahli
Draws
Al Fayha