Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a thrilling encounter at Holstein-Stadion on April 26, 2025, Holstein Kiel defeated Borussia Monchengladbach 4-3 in their German Bundesliga match. The game defied pre-match AI predictions, which favored a Borussia Monchengladbach victory (43.1% probability). Holstein Kiel, predicted with only a 30.4% chance of winning, showcased resilience and clinical finishing. Despite Borussia Monchengladbach dominating possession with 62.8%, Holstein Kiel proved more efficient in front of goal, converting 11 of their 22 shots into on-target efforts.
Shuto Machino scored a brace for Holstein Kiel (14', 90'+1'), while Alexander Bernhardsson (23') and Armin Gigovic (76') added to the home side's tally. Borussia Monchengladbach's goals came from Tomas Cvancara (60'), Alassane Pléa (69'), and Franck Honorat (86'). The match saw a flurry of goals in the second half, keeping fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle. The game featured a total of 16 shots from Borussia Monchengladbach with 7 on target.
The result is surprising considering Holstein Kiel's recent form, which includes losses to St. Pauli, Werder Bremen, and 1. FC Heidenheim, alongside draws against RB Leipzig and Mainz. Similarly, Borussia Monchengladbach has been inconsistent, with recent losses to Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg, a draw against St. Pauli, and wins against RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen. The AI model did not expect balanced game.
Holstein Kiel's next challenge is away against FC Augsburg on May 4th, a team with slightly better form, securing two wins and two draws in their last five matches, but the last head-to-head between both teams on December 2024 ended 5-1 for Holstein Kiel. Borussia Monchengladbach will host TSG Hoffenheim on May 3rd, a team with a mixed bag of results lately. Both teams will need to improve their consistency if they hope to climb the Bundesliga table, however Borussia Monchengladbach has a slight advantage in the upcoming game, considering the latest performance.
Looking back at their previous head-to-head game from December 2024, Borussia Monchengladbach secured a convincing 4-1 victory, however this time Holstein Kiel managed to overturn the odds and secure a victory. Borussia Monchengladbach has had difficulties winning their last matches, so the result could be related to that. In contrast to Borussia Monchengladbach's recent struggles, Holstein Kiel demonstrated improved attacking prowess compared to their previous games, suggesting a potential tactical adjustment or a surge in player confidence. The AI prediction clearly missed accounting for the home advantage and Kiel's determination to improve their recent negative trend in performance.

On April 26, 2025, Holstein Kiel will face Borussia Monchengladbach at Holstein-Stadion in a German Bundesliga match. AI predicts a victory for Borussia Monchengladbach, with a 43.1% win probability compared to Holstein Kiel's 30.4%. The algorithm gives a draw a 26.4% chance. Analyzing past performances, Holstein Kiel has struggled recently, with multiple losses and draws. In contrast, while Borussia Monchengladbach's form has been inconsistent, their key players, like the young midfielder Can Uzun (20 goals scored this season), could make the difference. Their last head-to-head game ended in a decisive 4-1 victory for Borussia Monchengladbach. The match promises to be an interesting clash of styles and recent form.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game