Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a closely contested English League Championship match at Vicarage Road, Burnley defeated Watford 2-1 on April 18, 2025. The AI prediction favored a Burnley win, and the actual result aligned with this pre-game analysis. Mamadou Doumbia opened the scoring early for Watford in the 8th minute. However, Zian Flemming equalized for Burnley just before halftime in the 43rd minute. The second half saw Josh Brownhill put Burnley ahead in the 58th minute.
Watford faced significant setbacks with red cards issued to Moussa Sissoko in the 60th minute and Edo Kayembe in the 69th minute, leaving them with nine players for a significant portion of the second half. Despite being a man down, Watford managed to create goal-scoring oppotunities. Burnley dominated possession with 65.5% compared to Watford's 34.5%. While Watford had 11 total shots, Burnley had 16, with 7 shots on target compared to Watford's 5.
Burnley's higher team rate of 0.651 compared to Watford's 0.38 seemed to reflect their on-field performance. The AI-predicted win probability for Burnley was 42.3%, slightly higher than Watford's 30.0%. This match continues Burnley's strong form, having won 4 of their last 5 games, displaying a pattern of consistent performance. Watford, on the other hand, has struggled, losing 3 of their last 5, including this match, suggesting a dip in form.
Looking ahead, Watford faces Portsmouth on April 21st, 2025. Considering Watford's recent struggles and Portsmouth's inconsistent form (2 losses, 1 draw, and 1 win in their last 5 games), the upcoming match promises to be challenging for Watford. Burnley will play Sheffield United on the same date. Given Burnley's winning streak and Sheffield United's recent poor performance (3 losses and 2 wins), Burnley will likely start as favorites.
Historically, Burnley has had the edge over Watford, winning their last head-to-head game (2-1). Burnley's recent games show a better defensive record and offensive efficiency compared to Watford's recent performances. The red cards for Watford in this match certainly played a significant role in their defeat, impacting their ability to maintain defensive stability and mount effective attacks.

On April 18, 2025, Vicarage Road will host a crucial English League Championship match between Watford and Burnley. AI algorithms are already buzzing, predicting a Burnley victory with a 42.3% probability, outweighing Watford's 30.0% chance. The draw probability stands at 27.8%. Watford's recent form has been shaky, with three losses in their last five games. In contrast, Burnley, spearheaded by their prolific striker, Lyle Foster, who is known for his clinical finishing, have won four of their last five, showcasing a strong attacking presence. Their creative midfielder, Johann Berg Gudmundsson, will be key in unlocking Watford's defense. Head-to-head records slightly favor Burnley, adding weight to the AI's prediction. While Watford will rely on the brilliance of their young winger, Giorgi Chakvetadze, it may not be enough to overcome Burnley's superior form and tactical prowess. The AI model factors in team ratings, giving Watford a 0.38 and Burnley a 0.651. The match promises tactical intrigue, but all signs point towards a Burnley triumph. It remains to be seen if Watford can defy the odds.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game