Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a surprising turn of events in the French Ligue 1, Saint-Etienne defeated Lyon 2-1 at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Lyon with a 50.0% win probability, while giving Saint-Etienne only a 23.3% chance, suggesting a Lyon victory. However, Lucas Stassin's brace (10', 67') secured the win for the home side, despite Tanner Tessmann pulling one back for Lyon in the 76th minute.
Lyon dominated possession with 59.4%, but Saint-Etienne were more clinical, converting their chances efficiently. Saint-Etienne had 18 total shots, with 6 on target, while Lyon only managed 2 shots on target from their 14 total shots. The home side also committed fewer fouls (12) compared to Lyon's 13, although both teams accumulated a number of yellow cards (3 for Saint-Etienne, 4 for Lyon).
Saint-Etienne's victory marks a significant upset, contrasting with their recent form which includes losses to Lens and PSG, and draws against Brest and Le Havre AC. This win could provide a much-needed confidence boost. Lyon, despite their higher team rate, have been inconsistent, with a recent loss to Manchester United in the Europa League and a defeat to Strasbourg in Ligue 1, interspersed with wins against AJ Auxerre and Lille.
Looking ahead, Saint-Etienne faces Strasbourg away on April 26th. Considering Strasbourg's recent form, which includes wins against Lyon, Stade de Reims and draws against Monaco and Nice, along with Saint-Etienne's own struggles for consistency, this will be a challenging match. Meanwhile, Lyon will host Stade Rennais, who are in good form with recent wins over Nantes, Le Havre AC, and Angers. Given Lyon's team rate and home advantage, they will be looking to bounce back from this defeat, but Rennes will pose a tough test.
Historically, Lyon has had the upper hand in this derby. In their last 5 matches, Lyon won 4 matches and only 1 match ended in draw.
Considering their upcoming match, Saint-Etienne must carry the momentum from this win and tighten their defense, while Lyon needs to rediscover their consistency and capitalize on their attacking prowess in their next game.

On April 20, 2025, all eyes will be on the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard as Saint-Etienne hosts Lyon in a highly anticipated French Ligue 1 clash. An AI prediction model is forecasting a Lyon victory, with a 50.0% win probability compared to Saint-Etienne's 23.3%. The draw probability stands at 26.7%. Considering last games, Saint-Etienne, with a team rate of 0.498, has struggled recently, marked by inconsistent performances including a heavy defeat against Paris Saint-Germain (1-6).
On the other hand, Lyon, boasting a stronger team rate of 0.722, enters the match after mixed results, with a recent loss against Manchester United in the Europa League (5-4) but a victory over AJ Auxerre (1-3) in Ligue 1. Lyon's attack is spearheaded by the prolific young striker, Karim Adeyemi, known for his pace and clinical finishing, and supported by the experienced midfielder, Nabil Fekir, the orchestrator of Lyon's plays.
Historically, Lyon has dominated the head-to-head record against Saint-Etienne. While the home crowd will undoubtedly rally behind Saint-Etienne, it seems the AI favors Lyon's overall strength and attacking prowess to secure the win in this derby. The fans are eager to see if Saint-Etienne can defy the odds or if Lyon will confirm the AI's prediction.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game