Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a stunning upset in the Dutch Eredivisie, FC Utrecht demolished Ajax Amsterdam with a final score of 4-0 at Stadion Galgenwaard. The game, played on April 20, 2025, saw FC Utrecht completely overturn pre-game predictions, as the AI tipped Ajax for a win. Sébastien Haller opened the scoring in the 29th minute. Miguel Rodríguez then scored a brace in the 52nd and 63rd minutes to put the game firmly in Utrecht's control. Paxten Aaronson sealed the victory with a goal in the 85th minute.
Despite having only 31.1% possession, FC Utrecht proved more clinical, converting their chances effectively. They had 13 total shots, with 5 on target, while Ajax, despite dominating possession with 68.9%, only managed 7 shots with 3 on target. Ajax also committed more fouls, 11 compared to Utrecht's 7, resulting in 3 yellow cards against just 1 for Utrecht. The home team's 4-2-3-1 formation seemed to effectively stifle Ajax's usually potent 4-3-3 attack.
This result is a major blow for Ajax, who were considered strong favorites with a rate of 0.845 compared to FC Utrecht's 0.687. The AI model clearly underestimated Utrecht's ability to perform, predicting only a 31.5% chance of a home win. This unexpected defeat breaks Ajax's recent winning streak in the Eredivisie, where they had won their last three matches, including a 2-0 victory against PSV Eindhoven. Considering their previous game in the UEFA Europa League against Eintracht Frankfurt, where they lost 4-1, it looks like Ajax is facing some problems.
Meanwhile, FC Utrecht's form is improving. Before this match, Utrecht won two of their last five games and drawing one. They seem to be in good shape for their next Eredivisie game away to RKC Waalwijk, which will be played on April 25, 2025. In contrast, Ajax will need to quickly regroup before their home game against Sparta Rotterdam on April 27, 2025.
Analyzing the previous head-to-head games, FC Utrecht has shown the capacity to challenge Ajax. Their match in October 2023, where Utrecht won 4-3, indicates the possibility of an upset, although Ajax has generally dominated the fixture. This result is all the more impressive given the context of both teams' previous matches and the AI's pre-game analysis.

On April 20, 2025, Stadion Galgenwaard in Utrecht will host a highly anticipated Dutch Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax Amsterdam. The prediction algorithms are pointing towards an Ajax Amsterdam victory, assigning them a 40.6% win probability, compared to Utrecht's 31.5%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27.9%.
FC Utrecht, with a team strength rate of 0.687, will be looking to leverage their recent home form, having won three of their last five matches. However, Ajax Amsterdam, boasting a stronger team strength rate of 0.845, enter the game with confidence, spearheaded by their prolific striker, Brian Brobbey, and creative midfielder, Kristian Hlynsson.
Ajax's recent Eredivisie form has been impressive, and they will aim to continue their winning streak. The last head-to-head game ended in a draw, so FC Utrecht will be keen to make their mark in their stadium. This match promises to be a thrilling encounter, with Ajax favored to take home the three points.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game