Football Result

Mexx Meerdink 90'+7'
Leo Sauer 75'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
64%
20.2%
15.8%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.697
0.46
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots
18
7
Possession
70.8%
29.2%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow Cards
0
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
10
4
Offsides
1
0
Saves
1
6
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
5-4-1


Location
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands
Attendance
17,537
2025-04-25 | Game Summary

In a Dutch Eredivisie match held on April 24, 2025, AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda played to a 1-1 draw at the AFAS Stadion. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored an AZ Alkmaar victory, with a win probability of 64.0%, but NAC Breda managed to secure a point. AZ Alkmaar dominated possession with 70.8%, and had more shots, totaling 18 compared to NAC Breda's 7. However, they only managed to convert one of those attempts, with Mexx Meerdink scoring a late equalizer in the 97th minute. NAC Breda, playing with a defensive 5-4-1 formation, took the lead through Leo Sauer in the 75th minute despite having fewer opportunities.
The game saw a contrast in disciplinary records, with NAC Breda accumulating 3 yellow cards, while AZ Alkmaar remained without any bookings. AZ Alkmaar's goalkeeper only had to make one save, indicating their defensive dominance, while NAC Breda's goalkeeper was busy, making 6 saves.
AZ Alkmaar's recent form has been inconsistent, with several draws and losses in their last few games, including a draw against Go Ahead Eagles in the Dutch KNVB Beker. Similarly, NAC Breda has been struggling to secure wins, with a series of draws in their recent matches. Their next match is on May 4th against PEC Zwolle, while AZ Alkmaar also play on the same date against Go Ahead Eagles.
Considering previous head-to-head games, AZ Alkmaar have generally dominated NAC Breda. The draw in this match breaks a trend, as AZ Alkmaar had won the most recent encounter in December 2024. The draw against Go Ahead Eagles (on 2025-04-21) and this draw show that AZ Alkmaar is not in their best form. Similarly, NAC Breda's draw against Go Ahead Eagles (on 2025-04-12) and this draw suggest that they are also struggling for consistency. Both teams will need to improve their form if they want to win their upcoming matches. Go Ahead Eagles have also drawn all of their last three matches, so the match between them and AZ Alkmaar promises to be interesting.

2025-04-23 | Pre-game insights

On April 24, 2025, AZ Alkmaar will face NAC Breda at the AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar for a Dutch Eredivisie match. According to the latest AI predictions, AZ Alkmaar is heavily favored to win, boasting a 64.0% win probability compared to NAC Breda's 15.8%. The AI gives a 20.2% chance of a draw. AZ Alkmaar's team rate is 0.697, significantly higher than NAC Breda's 0.46.
AZ Alkmaar's recent form has been inconsistent, with a draw in the Dutch KNVB Beker against Go Ahead Eagles and recent losses against Heracles Almelo and Feyenoord Rotterdam, as well as two other draws, showing a struggle to secure victories. However, their attacking midfielder, Kenzo Goudmijn, remains a key player, known for his vision and goal-scoring ability.
NAC Breda's recent matches also reflect a team struggling for form, with a string of draws and a loss against Ajax Amsterdam. The AI prediction takes into account the teams' recent performances and historical data. The last head-to-head game in December 2024 saw AZ Alkmaar winning 2-1. While anything can happen on the pitch, the AI suggests a comfortable victory for the home side.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
AZ Alkmaar
D L L D D
NAC Breda
D L D D D