Football Result

2025-04-23
Nahuel Tenaglia 65'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
40.5%
28.4%
31.1%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.553
0.649
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots
10
6
Possession
37.2%
62.8%
Fouls
17
17
Yellow Cards
4
5
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
6
Offsides
1
3
Saves
1
0
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1


Location
Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain
Attendance
17,049
2025-04-24 | Game Summary

In a Spanish LALIGA match held on April 23, 2025, Alavés triumphed over Real Sociedad with a 1-0 victory at Mendizorroza. Nahuel Tenaglia's goal in the 65th minute proved decisive for Alavés. Despite having only 37.2% possession, Alavés managed to secure the win. Real Sociedad dominated possession with 62.8% but failed to convert it into goals, not registering a single shot on target out of their 6 total shots. Both teams committed 17 fouls each, resulting in 4 yellow cards for Alavés and 5 for Real Sociedad. Alavés played with a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Real Sociedad used a 4-1-4-1 setup.
Interestingly, the AI's pre-game prediction of an Alavés win was accurate. The AI model did not anticipate a balanced game, and Alavés had a predicted win probability of 40.5% before the match. Considering their recent form, this win is significant for Alavés, who had a mixed run of results including a draw against Sevilla, a loss against Real Madrid, and a win against Girona. Real Sociedad's form has also been inconsistent, with a recent draw against Villarreal, a loss against Mallorca, and a win against Las Palmas.
Looking ahead, Alavés faces a tough challenge against Atlético Madrid in their next game. Alavés will need to capitalize on their home advantage, considering Atletico's superior team rate of 0.721, compared to Alavés 0.553. Analyzing previous encounters between Alavés and Atlético Madrid shows a mixed bag, with both teams securing wins at home. Real Sociedad, on the other hand, will face Athletic Club in a Basque derby. Real Sociedad will need to improve their attacking efficiency, considering Athletic Club has also been inconsistent but recently beat them. Real Sociedad rate 0.644 while Athletic rate 0.656, this will be a tight match.
Examining previous head-to-head matches between Alavés and Real Sociedad reveals a balanced history, with both teams having secured victories. However, in their most recent match, Alavés emerged victorious with a 2-1 win. Alavés' ability to secure a win despite lower possession and fewer shots on target showcases their tactical efficiency in this particular match. For Real Sociedad, this loss highlights the need to convert possession into meaningful scoring opportunities.

2025-04-22 | Pre-game insights

On April 23, 2025, Alavés will host Real Sociedad at Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain, for a LALIGA match. Despite Real Sociedad having a slightly better team rate (0.649 compared to Alavés' 0.553), an AI is predicting an Alavés victory. The AI gives Alavés a 40.5% chance of winning, while Real Sociedad has a 31.1% chance, and a draw is at 28.4%. Alavés' recent form has been mixed, with two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five LALIGA games.
Real Sociedad also had a similar form, two wins, one loss and two draws in their last 5 games. Looking at past encounters, Alavés managed to win one of the last head-to-head games. Real Sociedad counts on the talent of Mikel Oyarzabal to try and overcome the predictions. However, Alavés, boosted by their home crowd, hopes to defy the odds and secure a crucial victory.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Alaves
D L W L D
Real Sociedad
D L W D W