Football Result

2025-04-23
Iñaki Williams 5'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
57.4%
24.7%
17.9%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.659
0.419
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots
13
10
Possession
48.8%
51.2%
Fouls
13
9
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
3
Offsides
4
2
Saves
2
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
San Mames, Bilbao, Spain
Attendance
47,724
2025-04-24 | Game Summary

In a Spanish LALIGA match held on 2025-04-23 at San Mamés, Athletic Club secured a 1-0 victory against Las Palmas. Iñaki Williams scored the decisive goal early in the 5th minute, which proved to be enough for Athletic Club to claim all three points. The game saw a fairly even distribution of possession, with Las Palmas holding a slight edge at 51.2% compared to Athletic Club's 48.8%. However, Athletic Club managed to create more scoring opportunities, registering 13 total shots with 4 on target, while Las Palmas had 10 shots with only 2 on target. Athletic Club committed more fouls, 13 compared to Las Palmas' 9, and received 1 yellow card while Las Palmas received 3.
The AI's pre-game prediction of an Athletic Club win was accurate, aligning with the final result. The AI model did not anticipate a balanced game, and the statistics somewhat support this, with Athletic Club creating more scoring opportunities. The predicted win probability for Athletic Club before the game was 57.4%, which is reasonable considering their home advantage and slightly higher team rate (0.659) compared to Las Palmas (0.419).
Athletic Club's recent form has been mixed, with wins against Rayo Vallecano and in the Europa League against Rangers, but also a loss to Real Madrid in their previous LALIGA match. Their upcoming game against Real Sociedad will be a tough test, especially considering Real Sociedad's recent form which includes a win against Las Palmas and a draw against Villarreal. The head-to-head record shows a fairly even contest between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad, suggesting another close match is likely.
Las Palmas, on the other hand, had a mixed bag of results recently. Before this game against Athletic Club, they had a win against Atlético Madrid and Getafe, but also a loss against Real Sociedad and 2 draws. Their next match is at home against Valencia, a team that has been on a good run of form with multiple wins. Considering the head-to-head history and Valencia's recent performance, Las Palmas will need to be at their best to secure a positive result.
Looking back at previous encounters, Athletic Club has had the upper hand against Las Palmas, winning their last 3 matches. This recent victory further solidifies their dominance in this fixture. The game followed a pattern of Athletic Club's recent performances, where they managed to secure a win despite not dominating possession, showcasing their efficiency in front of goal. Las Palmas, despite their efforts, struggled to convert their possession into meaningful scoring chances, a trend seen in some of their previous games.

2025-04-22 | Pre-game insights

On April 23, 2025, Athletic Club will host Las Palmas at San Mamés in a Spanish LALIGA clash. AI algorithms are heavily favoring a victory for the home side, assigning them a 57.4% win probability against Las Palmas's 17.9%. The draw probability is calculated at 24.7%. Athletic Club, despite a recent loss to Real Madrid (1-0), has shown strong form, especially at home, highlighted by their 2-0 victory against Rangers in the UEFA Europa League. Key players for Athletic include the experienced forward, Raul Garcia, known for his aerial prowess and tenacious defending from the front. On the other hand, Las Palmas, fresh off victories against Atlético Madrid (1-0) and Getafe (1-3), will be looking to upset the odds. However, their overall team rate is only 0.419 compared to Athletic Club's 0.659. The AI prediction suggests that Athletic Club's stronger squad and home advantage will prove decisive. It is worth remembering that AI predictions are not always right. The previous five head-to-head games show that Athletic won three games and Las Palmas won two.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance